WIT Press


Forecasting Impacts Of Technology Changes Using Fuzzy Logic And Approximate Reasoning

Price

Free (open access)

Volume

20

Pages

10

Published

1996

Size

792 kb

Paper DOI

10.2495/CR960321

Copyright

WIT Press

Author(s)

A.H. Soliman, V.R. Mummidi & R.L. Sabounghi

Abstract

The present research focuses on developing a framework for modeling decision process of an expert using the concepts of fuzzy set theory, approximate reasoning and fuzzy control. A theoretical methodology is proposed which utilizes the expert opinions in qualifying the levels of service (LOS) improvement that can be obtained by the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) technologies. Concepts of fuzzy expert system are utilized for standardizing the opinions so that they can be used in technology impact forecasting. 1 Introduction Human decision making process in very complex, involving many faculties of human brain interacting with each other producing a final result. The actual process itself consists of many sub-processes evaluating uncer

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