WIT Press


Risk Analysis Of Airplane Accidents Due To Bird Strikes Using Monte Carlo Simulations

Price

Free (open access)

Paper DOI

10.2495/RISK120331

Volume

44

Pages

11

Page Range

393 - 403

Published

2012

Size

422 kb

Author(s)

H. Gotoh, M. Takezawa & Y. Maeno

Abstract

Airplane accidents are generally more serious than accidents involving other methods of transportation. One cause of airplane accidents is a collision with a bird, which is called a bird strike. Particularly, if the bird is ingested by the jet engine, the airplane may lose power and crash. Therefore, it is useful to understand the bird strike risk before opening a new airport. In this paper, the bird strike situation at existing airports in Japan is investigated, and the frequency and factors of bird strikes are presented (including geographic information, the number of takeoffs and landings, land use around the airport, and so on). Also, the relationships between these various factors and bird strike occurrence are analyzed. Furthermore, risk analysis is performed using Monte Carlo simulations of Haneda Airport as an example (which is the biggest airport in Japan), and bird strike countermeasures are suggested. Keywords: bird strike, airport, airplane, risk analysis, Monte Carlo simulation.

Keywords

Keywords: bird strike, airport, airplane, risk analysis, Monte Carlo simulation