WIT Press


Estimation Of Risk Under Fire Design Situation

Price

Free (open access)

Paper DOI

10.2495/RISK000061

Volume

45

Pages

10

Published

2000

Size

1,016 kb

Author(s)

M. Holicky & J.-B. Schleich

Abstract

Experience and available data indicate that depending on particular conditions and applied fire safety system, the probability of fire flashover and possible structural failure may be expected within a broad range. It appears that Bayesian causal networks provide a capable tool for analysing efficiency of fire safety system and for estimation of risk under fire design situation. The network consisting of twelve chance nodes, two decision and five utility nodes is used to analyse a fire safety system. Chance nodes of the network include fire start, detection, tampering, sprinklers, smoke detection, fire brigade, fire flashover, and structural collapse. The decision and utility nodes are implemented to enable estimation of risk under various decisions concerning spr

Keywords