WIT Press


Forecasting Travel Times Based On Actuated And Historic Data

Price

Free (open access)

Paper DOI

10.2495/UT970191

Volume

33

Pages

10

Published

1997

Size

1,291 kb

Author(s)

Danko A. Roozemond

Abstract

In this research a model of forecasting the travel times of links will be addressed. Forecasting is one of the main topics of an integrated traffic management system and a necessity of dynamic route planning systems. To be able to forecast properly we use both historic data and current data from monitoring devices as input for our dynamic model. Thus, combining the best of both worlds, we are able to forecast travel times in the near future based largely on current data as well as travel times for some time ahead based on current and historic data. Accuracy and variability of data are important as they are the key element if these models will be incorporated in route guidance and traffic management schemes. 1 Introduction Current estimates are that 65 percent of

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