WIT Press

Connectionist Forecasting Of Earthquakes: Method And Preliminary Results

Price

Free (open access)

Paper DOI

10.2495/AI970181

Volume

19

Pages

9

Published

1997

Size

48 kb

Author(s)

E. Ivo Alves

Abstract

. This method is based on the integration by an artificial neural network of forecasting tools that were originally developed for financial analysis, the so-called financial oscillators. A preliminary test is performed on seismic data from the Azores, and that test shows a good predicting ability, better than would be obtained by classical probabilistic methods. 1 Introduction. Although Man can alter the environment, and sometimes drastically does so, some of the most severe environmental changes arise from natural processes. These processes, given their magnitudes are, for the time being, beyond any possibility of control. The only hope for protection from natural catastrophes - volcanic eruptions, floods, droughts, earthquakes - is in their prediction. Earthquake prediction has taken different aspects:

Keywords