Author(s)

A.N Findikakis, A.W.K. Lav & Y. Papadimitrakis

Abstract

A stochastic simulation model has been developed to support the assessment of the risk of shore contamination by offshore oil spills. The model simulates the trajectory and evolution of offshore oil spills, accounting for advection by surface currents, spreading, hydrodynamic dispersion, and evaporation. The model uses wind transition matrices to account for the uncertainty in the wind direction and speed that may affect the movement of an oil slick and its point of contact with the shoreline. After the first contact with the shoreline, the model simulates the deformation of the oil slick as it approaches the shore, e

Keywords