WIT Press

Extreme events in nature: A challenge for the understanding of complex dynamics

Price

Free (open access)

Paper DOI

10.2495/ECO-V1-N2-149-161

Volume

Volume 1 (2006), Issue 2

Pages

12

Page Range

149 - 161

Author(s)

H. Kantz

Abstract

The occurrence of extreme events in complex systems is not just a statistical issue but also a dynamical one. The dynamics which is responsible for the normal fluctuations exhibited by a system must also be capable of generating extreme excursions. Such a dynamical point of view offers new approaches towards understanding and prediction of the occurrence of extreme events.

Keywords

extreme events, time series analysis, nonlinear correlations, predictions